The division of votes between the Congress n AAP will harm both of them in Delhi. Low turnout goes against them as well.

The capital city of India called National Capital territory of Delhi polled five percent less than the total poll percentage of 2014 when the country was experiencing the extensive Modi wave. Than too elections were held in April though this time in May, a month ahead.

But both are the summer months. There is no doubt that the voting percentage comes down during the peak summers but 61% polling can’t be construed as low as well especially keeping in view the triangular contest in most of the Delhi lok sabha seats though in some of the constituencies the ruling party of Delhi was not witnessed in the fray as was being claimed by Delhi CM n AAP’s national convenor Arvind Kejrival, exhorting the Delhi voters to give all the 7 seats to AAP in order to ensure that Delhi gets complete statehood.

The biggest blunder however had already been committed by him by not alligning with Congress and giving the saffron party a walk through in majority of the constituencies by his usual arrogance and obstinate attitude.

Moreover, the startling disclosure by one of his party’s candidate from West Delhi seat Balram Singh Jakhar’s son Uday Jakhar about Kejrival n Gopal Rai allegedly accepting a whopping six crore rupees to allot him the ticket right a day before the polling has also degraded the image of AAP in the entire Delhi election further giving boost to BJP n Congress in various parliamentary constituencies. Moreover, there is a general saying that whenever the poll percentage increases dramatically it’s usually the vote against the ruling party dispensation and if the polling percentage lessens it usually goes against the opposition party candidates especially when there exists the polarisation trend im favour of majoritarianism as is existing today in Delhi n other parts of the country calledthe post Pulwama effect.

However, it is not the thumb rule as well. The polling on 12th May in the context of Delhi’s seven parliamentary seats about 60.17 % of electorates out of the total of 1.43 have cast their votes which is 5% less to the polling percentage of 2014 election. However as per the Election Commission of India yesterdays polling percentage can still be construed as the second highest poll cast during the last four decades. However in 1977 the Delhi’s poll percentage was 70% , five % more than the polling of 2014 that witnessed an extensive Modi wave. You will all admit that in 1977 it was a massive anti establishment vote against the then Congress party government n prime minister Indira Gandhi against the imposition of draconion emergency and the vote of anger, annoyance n disenchantment symbolising strengthening Democratic Values of Constututional freedom went enblock to the then Janata Party that came into existence on the call of the then leader of total revolution late Jay Prakash Narayan.

So my saying is vindicated that whenever there is immeasurable n extensive anger and annoyance against the ruling party establishment the vote percentage increases manifold with a sentiment for change but it hase’nt hapoened in Delhi this time rather the percentage went down unambiguously indicating that the anti BJP voters in Delhi have either stayed indoors, gone for picnic on the day of polling or got divided massively between AAP n Congress but the saffron party and Modi voters have come to polls come committedly n with dedication.

It is usually said that they have a committed 46% vote in Delhi which even remained intact when AAP got 67 seats in the Delhi assembly elections in 2015 while the entire Congress vote got shifted to AAP that included the minority vote, the votes of unauthorised colonies and JJ Clusters including the middle class vote opting for change. What is the most interesting aspect in one of the constituencies of Delhi, North East from where former CM Shiela Dikshit, Delhi BJP chief Manoj Tiwari n the AAP’s candidate is contesting the polling percentage has gone up by63.46% highest in all the Delhi constituencies.

This speaks of the fact that the sitting BJP MP has tremendous anti incumbency against him this time which unambiguously suggest that his chances seem to be bleak and perhaps the Congress candidate may emerge victorious from this seat. However, the New Delhi constituency which was witnessing a direct fight between the former union minister n ex MP from here n the sitting BJP MP Meenakshi Lekhi witnessed the lowest poll percentage of 56.47 till 6.00 PM. However the trader n muslim dominated constituency of Chandni Chowk too witnessed not so bad turnout of 63% unambiguously showing a good fight between BJP’s Harsh Vardhan n a four time MP with good reputation Jai Prakash Aggrawal of Congress. Rest of the constituencies of West Delhi, South Delhi, East Delhi and North West Delhi witnessed 65%, 57%, 62% and 59% respectively. Delhi elections this time have been fought on issues pertaining to national security, sealing, regularisation of unauthorised colonies and above all on unemployment issues.

But I repeatedly say that the people of Delhi despite being convinced about Modi’s faikures on unemployment, demonetisation, GST n closure of small businesses etc looked more interested in installing him the prime minister of the country again as they feel that he has raised the nation’s prestige on the country’s security aspect post Pulwama. Sounds interesting that majority of the electorates dilute the key n burning issues by chant Modi Modi.

In addition to this factor the hugest blunder of AAP n Congress fighting separately in Delhi has given the BJP an added advantage of division of anti Modi n saffron votes which otherwise ( had both of them.contested together) would have gone to this combine resulting in atleast victories in four Lok Sabha seats of Delhi. What’s your take friends?