Which party will bag minority votes in Delhi, Congress or AAP ?

The role of minority electorates in three parliamentary constituencies of Delhi is playing an extremely significant role and these constituencies are Chandni Chowk, North East Delhi and East Delhi. However in other four constituencies of Delhi too it has a sizeable population but not playing a decisive role as in the aforesaid three constituencies.

While the Bhartiya Janata Party is least worried for minoriry votes, knowing very well that it won’t get even a negligible vote, not even in dreams, the AAM ADMI Party and Congress is definitely banking on this section trying to convince the voters of muslim community to vote for them AAP n Congress instead of getting it deflected.

But politcal analysts say that the saffron party is bound to benefit as not only is it polarising its vote bank on the issue of ulyra nationalism n post Pulwama situation compounded with Modi charisma , the division in the Anti BJP vote bank would also be helping the party stage victory on majority of the Delhi seat.

The breakdown in talks over the AAP Congress electoral patch up in Delhi had been the worst kind of situation for both the parties making worried BJP jubilant to the fullest. If we peep into the muslim voter percentage it’s maximum in North East Delhi 23% followed by East Delhi 16% and Chandni Chowk 14%. Other constituencies viz North West represent 10% of muslim voters while other three constituencies of South, West n New Delhi 7, 6 and 5% s respectively.

The former three times Delhi CM Shiela Dikshit is contesting as Congress candidate from North East Delhi with Dilip Pandey as AAP’s nominee. The Delhi BJP chief n singer Manoj Tiwari is the BJP’s candidate from here. From East Delhi AAP’s Atishi Marlena is the most popular candidate with Congress party’s Arvinder Singh Lovely giving a tough fight as well.

The BJP has fielded eminent cricketer Gautam Gambhir from this seat. Similarly in Chandni Chowk too there seems to be a triangular fight between Congress’s four time Lok Sabha MP Jai Prakash Agrawal and BJP’s Harsh Vardhan, union minister n a popular politician.

From AAP’s side Pankaj Gupta is AAP’s candidate. Since the BJP had been banking its vote bank on ultra nationalism etc to polarise the majority community nationally the minority vote bank of the country and in every parliamentary segment has badly consolidated against the saffron party and would be voting enmass/ en block to the party of their choice, either Congress, AAP or other secular parties.

But this time one things seems to be absolutely clear that the muslims will not let their vote go waste. They will vote for the party that’s winning than to a party that’s losing.

Sources reveal that in Delhi majority of the muslims think that they should vote for Congress as it’s the only old and national party that is strongly n fiercefully taking on the BJP.

Hence instead of voting for AAP they would most likely vote for the Congress but despite all this the division of anti BJP votes can’t be ruled out thus directly helping the BJP which is trying to polarise on majorarianism.

In several speeches Congress candidate Arvinder Singh Lovely was seen emphasising on muslims brothers not to waste their vote by casting them to other parties obviously AAP as division of anti BJP vote is going to help the BJP.

However in the elections of 2015 the electorates of unauthorised colonies, the slum dwellers and the minorities have voted for the AAP enblock, given 67 seats to AAP n none to congress, as they were disenchanted with Common Wealth Games corruption and 15 year rule of Shiela Dikshit in addition to the ten year corrupt rule of Congress at the centre. But the situation is different this time.

A good number of the slum cluster, unauthorised colonies n minoriry vote has shifted towards Congress due to Priyanka and rahul factor. Moreover, the Congress candidates from these three muslim dominated constituencies viz Shiela Dikshit, Jai Prakash Agrawal and Arvinder Singh Lovely, all former Delhi Congress chiefs are the Congress heavy weights
who are giving tough fights to BJP n AAP.

However, the analysts still say that had the AAP n Congress united themselves the combine could have won more than four seats in Delhi but after the non patch up the division in the non BJP vote banks is making things difficult for both Congress n AAP with BJP still having edge in all the 7 seats of Delhi. What’s your take friends?