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December 22, 2024 6:16 PM

India

Which way the BSP, SP, RLD combine go, post elections ?

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The final results of general election would be out on 23rd and manipulations for the new government formation would start. There are two political formulations which would form the government at the centre, one the BJP led NDA and another the Congress led UPA.

Both prime minister Narendra Modi, considered to be the most charismatic leader of the saffron party had been trying his best to ensure that the BJP led NDA repeats this time as well where as the Congress chief Rahul Gandhi n his charismatic sister Priyanka Gandhi too are leaving no stone unturned to dethrone PM Modi from power at the centre n form the Mahagathbandhan’s government whose prime minister is still unknown.

There are primarily two important parties that are in the fray nationally, the BJP n the Congress but the role of the regional forces like Biju Janata Dal, TRS, TDP, JDS, RJD TMC , RLD, SP, BSP and the left parties the CPM n CPI etc etc cannot be ruled out.

Uttar Pradesh being the biggest state of the country sending 80 seats to Lok Sabha plays the major in the nation’s politics n in installing the prime minister of the country.

During the last election of 2014, the BJP under Modi wave had been successful in bringing 73 MPs from Uttar Pradesh including two of Apna Dal giving just two to Congress n rest to SP with BSP literally getting nothing.

But this time the political situation of the state seems to be different with Bahujan Samaj Party, Samajwadi Party and Rashtriya Lok Dal forming its own consolidated political conglomeration, strategically keeping Congress out of this alliance.

Not only this but the BSP chief Mayawati n the SP supremo Akhilesh Yadav have been spitting lots of venom, publicly against the Congress party and its duo Rahul n Priyanka Gandhi thus giving a clear impression that they are in a way helping n patronising the BJP with an eye on the future political prospects in alliance with the saffron party led NDA which according to political analysts still have better chances to form government at the centre.

Even the SP god father Mulayam Singh had surprised and shocked the entire anto BJP Mahagathbandhan by predicting and wishing Modi’s definite return to power in 2019 general elections.

If we believe in the political predictions, the Bhartiya Janata Party is losing about 40/ 45 seats in Uttar Pradesh at the hands of the BSP, SP n RLD alliance as Congress party would hardly win 5 to 6 seats with rest of 35 or 40 going to the combine for sure.

Similarly at the national level the Congress party is likely to cross 100 to 125/ 135 seats individually with rest of the anti BJP opposition, including regional forces, gaining good number of seats.

Under such circumstances it’s quite obvious that despite massive polarisation the BJP n NDA inspite (off) getting good number seats will be quite less in numbers as compared to its historic majority in 2014.

Sources reveal that the way cases have been allegedly registed against Mayawati in the Sugar Mills scam, Taj Corridor cases, cases of disproportionate assets n Courts directives to deposit Rs 4000 crores to government from BSP corpus, against constructing the BSP symbol elephants in the state etc n similarly against SP chief Akhilesh, would compel them for a rethink on extending support to the saffron party which would be quite keen to have their blessings in disguise.

The way, despite being an important part of the Mahagathbandhan against BJP, Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav are spitting venom against Congress n its chief Rahul Gandhi publicly, it looks as if the BSP Supremo Mayawati n SP chief Akhilesh Yadav would under no circumstances support Rahul Gandhi for the post of prime minister in case of any post election scenerio or possibilities in this regard.

Moreover, Mayawati’s track record of the past also shows that she can go to any extent to compromise ideology for her personal political beneficience.

The instances of post Babri Masjid demolition are pretty clear when she became the UP CM with the support of Bhartiya Janata Party betraying the then Mulayam Singh’s party SP.

Moreover, since the day Priyanka Gandhi had met the Dalit leader in the making Chandra Shekhar alias Ravan at Meerut hospital, BSP supremo Mayawati is badly annoyed, disenchanted and furious with the Congress, Rahul and Priyanka Gandhi n in no mood to compromise with them.

What does this indicate? It’s quite obvious : She may support BJP by either by abstention in paliament during voting or extending open support against a credible offer of important ministries or even deputy prime ministership. ( However, these are all assumptions, Mint it)

The motive is : Rahul should not be successful n alleged soft pedalling of her cases or making them write off.

Even in the Satta markets of UP, the issue of Mayawati joining or supporting BJP in the near future or post election is being betted upon. What’s your take friends?

Sunil Negi hails from Uttarakhand and is a veteran journalist and author. He is a prolific writer and has carved a name for himself in the media world. He received the 'Golden Achiever Award' in the '90th AIAC Excellence Awards 2019' for his book ''Havoc in Heaven'' based on the tragedy that struck Uttarakhand in which thousands of people lost their lives. He is also the President of Uttarakhand Journalists Forum and majorly writes on Politics, Current Affairs, and Social Issues.

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